开个NQ点的点位帖子，【尽量】每天早上开盘前更新

今天有点晚了，突然中午才想到要不今年每天更新下，我自己每天也看这点位交易，不是投资建议，有兴趣的看看乐子，做做日内。不知道会不会挖坟，但目前想着每天更新。
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
2/9/26
Not whole a lot has changed since Friday, so the levels are pretty much the same with some minor tweaks.
Be patient and be nimble.
image3532×2325 355 KB
R: 25420
R: 25360
R: 25330
R: 25290
R: 25223
R: 25180
R: 25124
R: 25092
R: 25015 (O/N rebids)
R: 24957
R: 24918
R: 24860 - 24880
R: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24650
S: 24540
S: 24460
S: 24280
2/6/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
2/6/26
image3475×2315 292 KB
R: 25223
R: 25180
R: 25124
R: 25092
R: 25037
R: 24957
R: 24918
R: 24860 - 24880
R: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24650
S: 24540
S: 24460
S: 24280
2/5/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
超出这个范围就是超出我的认知了，一般就不会做了。
Technical wise, the selloff was a rejection of the top range of the balance again, on the weekly. Now it back to the bottom of the range around 25200.
Offers were pretty strong yesterday, pretty much no interest trying to bid until 25640 - 25660, then the offers chewed through all the bids and retested the low around 25230, where the prior rebids came out and at 25163.
- It’s tricky because now the bias is obviously bearish with pivot at 25540, and LIS around 25640-25660, if want to try short. However, b/c it is near the balance range bottom, it is hard to maintain a b/o lower bias until sellers prove that they can decisively break the rebids of 25163 and even the low 25044, with the minor support at 25100. Otherwise it is like yesterday, treat it as a longer timeframe range-bound and it is now back to the low again…
Nonetheless, reoffers seem to moved lower from the pivot 25540 to 25510-25515, which is to sellers’ advantage, all depends on if they sustain the move lower.
image3535×2210 311 KB
R:25650
R: 25540 (PIVOT)
R: 25510 - 25515
R: 25490
R: 25460
R: 25420
R: 25360
S: 25330
S: 25230
S: 25163
S: 25100
S: 25040
2/3/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
2/3/26
Don’t particularly like today’s price action, too many levels and we are back to the weekly range top. Just like how it rejected auctioning below after Sunday’s open sell off, it’s a bit hard to just shoot out and breakout top as well.
Slight long bias and lean towards b/o above, but treat it as range until proven otherwise.
image3547×2302 296 KB
R: 26360
R: 26320
R: 26303
R: 26280
R: 26230
R: 26195 - 26210
R: 26175
R: 26120
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26003 - 26020
S: 25945
S: 25926
S: 25905
S: 25837
S: 25818 (Rebids for 25845 )
S: 25797 (LIS for long)
2/2/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
2/2/26
Not sure what’s gonna happen, but short bias until key levels are reclaimed. 540, 650-660
image3510×2172 279 KB
R: 26197
R: 26174
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26015
R: 25972
R: 25926
R: 25875 - 25900
R: 25835
R: 25797
R: 25750 - 25760
R: 25720
R: 25650 - 25660 (LIS for shorts)
R: 25540 (Pivot, reoffer expected)
S: 25460
S: 25420
S: 25395
S: 25350 - 25360
S: 25230
S: 25165
S: 25100
S: 25040
1/30/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/30/26
Didn’t see yesterday’s sell off coming, but I suppose it’s normal to rotate and rebalance after big tech ERs and FOMC (tho i havent looked into why yet).
image3505×2245 290 KB
R: 26197
R: 26174
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26015
R: 25972
R: 25926
R: 25875 - 25900
R: 25845
S: 25797
S: 25750 - 25760
S: 25720
S: 25650 - 25660 (Rebids)
S: 25540
1/29/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/29/26
FOMC was much of a nothingburger… but market slowly grinding up. Lean towards initial rebalance based on tech earnings from yesterday then chop for more earnings result.
image3680×2327 372 KB
R: 26550
R: 26450 - 26525 (Trapped buyers)
R: 26420
R: 26360
R: 26320
R: 26300 - 26305
R: 26280 (Reoffer)
R: 26230
R: 26208
S: 26120
S: 26095 - 26105
S: 26045
S: 25970
S: 25926
1/28/26

1/28/26

No update on FOMC day, plus MSFT META TSLA earnings, no point to trade today.

1/27/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/27/26
Expecting a smaller range with FOMC starting today and I think the market might be waiting for the decision, so likely it won’t be too volatile.
image3542×2232 275 KB
R: 26374
R: 26362
R: 26272
R: 26132 - 26118
R: 26076
R: 26045
R→S: 25960 - 25970
S: 25940
R→S: 25926
S: 25870 - 25875
S: 25835
S: 25805
S: 25760
1/26/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/26/26
Not much has changed since Friday, O/N gapped lower but slowly grinded back to Friday’s range with low interest auctioning below.
image3530×2200 270 KB
R: 26000 - 26010
R: 25975 - 26010
R: 26940
R: 26926
R: 25870 - 25880
R: 25790 - 25805
R: 25760
R: 25740
R: 25720
R: 25700 - 25704
R: 25660
R: 25640
R: 25595 - 25600
S: 25540
S: 25490
S: 25420 - 25430
1/23/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/23/26
Didn’t change too much from yesterday’s levels, pretty much range bound, so only minor changes.
image3530×2225 296 KB
R: 26000 - 26010
R: 25975 - 26010
R: 26940
R: 26926
R: 25870 - 25880
R: 25790 - 25805
R: 25760
R: 25730
R: 25700 - 25704
R: 25660
R: 25640
R: 25600
S: 25540
S: 25490
S: 25420 - 25430
1/22/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/22/26
Disclaimer: back to prior week’s range, not going to be clean price action, treat levels with a grain of salt… I don’t like this range at all…
image3545×2205 285 KB
1/21/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/21/26
Nothing has really changed, need to see if the O/N break down was a fake out.
Still lean short until bids can reclaim pivot.
image3527×2230 274 KB
R: 25540
R: 25450 - 25470 (LIS for shorts)
R: 25420 (PIVOT)
R: 25395
R: 25310 - 25320
R: 25265
R: 25230 - 25245
R: 25165 - 25175 (Also WDVAL ipb now)
R: 25125 (Minor)
S: 25095 - 25108 (If this doesn’t hold and rebound, will lead to further downside)
S: 24985
S: 24880 - 24890
S: 24860
S: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24620
1/20/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/20/26
image3585×2195 264 KB
It’s been a long weekend to say the least. First day back, don’t rush into trade, let it build a bit and see where the bids/offers coming in.
Liquidity might be thin and given the higher volatility, so I planned more levels.
image3612×2202 334 KB
R: 25540
R: 25450 - 25470 (LIS for shorts)
R: 25420 (PIVOT)
R: 25395
R: 25310 - 25320
R: 25265
R: 25165 - 25175
S: 25095 - 25108 (If this doesn’t hold and rebound, will lead to further downside)
S: 24985
S: 24880 - 24890
S: 24860
S: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24620
1/14/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/14/26
Currently the bears have the advantage to push this lower b/c buyers failed to launch higher 3 times now at the high around 26000, and now some bids have been caught off the wrong side.
However, if the offers can’t push for a new low (larger TF has been forming HL), likely the buyers will take over again and retest the swing high around 26000.
Bears would want to defend heavily at 25926, and ideally should defend 25872 as well, we’ll see.
image3627×2212 300 KB
1/13/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/13/26
With benign CPI data, it shot up pre-market, but need to see if it can sustain it, or it’ll likely back to the range-bound chop fest…
image3605×2210 316 KB
1/12/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/12/26
有点晚，脑子不太清醒，take it easy.
image3612×2217 291 KB
1/9/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/9/26
Nothing really changed, still just range bound. Price poked 25570 during yesterday’s session but bids quicky came in and showed no interest transacting down there.
With SCOTUS expected to release some opinions on tariffs sometime today, expect there will be some short-lived volatility. Other than that and the premarket data release, I still expect just a ranged bound, choppy price action. Except maybe from the market open, it will still be the same ol same ol passive flows and jumpy price action, at least in NQ.
image3637×2207 294 KB
1/8/26
【引用自 BucatiniCarbonara】:
1/8/26
Too many levels now – the volume has built up so far isn’t very helpful anymore, it has gone back and forth too many times.
Will take the levels loosely, expect yet again, another choppy session. RIP.
image3620×2225 300 KB
1/7/26

[quote=“BucatiniCarbonara, post:8, topic:471966, full:true”]

1/7/26

Not so much has changed tbh, very much two-way tape, but mostly with passive buying pressure grinding up.
Coming up to multiple strong R zone, especially 25895 - 25965 where sellers pressed it down, and buyers has been failing to even meaningfully re-test it.
Still expect two-way choppy price action, with mostly active sell tape and passive buying pressure.
At this point, just depends on the data coming out this week, most importantly NFP data on Friday, since the Fed has shifted their priority to the unemployment side of the dual mandate, to maybe decide the next leg.

image3582×2210 305 KB

[/quote]

1/6/26

1/6/26

NQ is coiling up for the next leg. So right now I still think it’s range bound and will be more likely to mean revert. This will be my bias until it proves others.

image3617×2232 304 KB

1/5/26

1/5/26

image3660×2220 308 KB

reminds me of
【引用自 未知】:
(主楼持续更新) **预测下周转折点, 公开进场方式** 有人在做ES 日内或周内交易吗？(SP500期货) 股市投资
如果在一周开盘前，就能拥有相当准度的预期转折点。
这样会帮助到你的短线交易吗？
我先附上过去两周我的预测转折点。
下周开始我会在一周开始前就提前贴上我的预测。
周末再验证。
欢迎打脸
[1000026609]
[1000026509]
其实我本来是想要先录个5-10支影片，再来分享操作方法。但是对我这个影片小白来说，可能…

哈哈哈哈 对 有点受他启发 他做ES多一些

所以是对铁鹰的点位，还是趋势的点位

1/6/26

NQ is coiling up for the next leg. So right now I still think it’s range bound and will be more likely to mean revert. This will be my bias until it proves others.
Still thinks the PA will be jumpy, like yesterday, might not be an easy/clean session. Full of passive participants.

image3617×2232 304 KB

R: 25802
R: 25775 - 25780
R: 25730 - 25740
R: 25675 - 25690 (Trapped buyers, reoffers present)
R: 25650
R: 25608 - 25618
S: 25530 - 25557
S: 25520
S: 25456 - 25460
S: 25390 - 25404
S: 25285 - 25290
S: 25263

How it played out:

image2915×2212 249 KB

趋势吧，我做日内的。

Well, since I’m on a plane and bored. Let me share mine. You should be able to find some nice confluence with yours

5101080×2340 157 KB

1/7/26

Not so much has changed tbh, very much two-way tape, but mostly with passive buying pressure grinding up.
Coming up to multiple strong R zone, especially 25895 - 25965 where sellers pressed it down, and buyers has been failing to even meaningfully re-test it.
Still expect two-way choppy price action, with mostly active sell tape and passive buying pressure.
At this point, just depends on the data coming out this week, most importantly NFP data on Friday, since the Fed has shifted their priority to the unemployment side of the dual mandate, to maybe decide the next leg.

image3582×2210 305 KB

1/8/26

Too many levels now – the volume has built up so far isn’t very helpful anymore, it has gone back and forth too many times.
Will take the levels loosely, expect yet again, another choppy session. RIP.

image3620×2225 300 KB

1/9/26

Nothing really changed, still just range bound. Price poked 25570 during yesterday’s session but bids quicky came in and showed no interest transacting down there.
With SCOTUS expected to release some of opinions regarding tariffs, NOT FINAL RULING (correction from earlier post) sometime today, expect there will be some short-lived volatility. Other than that and the premarket data release, I still expect just a ranged bound, choppy price action. Except maybe from the market open, it will still be the same ol same ol passive flows and jumpy price action, at least in NQ.

image3637×2207 294 KB

R: 25973
R: 25926
R: 25890 - 25910
R: 25848
R: 25818
S: 25795 - 25805
S: 25775
S: 25740
S: 25703
S: 25670 - 25690
S: 25650
S: 25608 - 25618

How today played out

image3095×2220 283 KB

1/12/26

有点晚，脑子不太清醒，take it easy.

image3612×2217 291 KB

1/13/26

With benign CPI data, it shot up pre-market, but need to see if it can sustain it, or it’ll likely back to the range-bound chop fest…

image3605×2210 316 KB

1/14/26

Currently the bears have the advantage to push this lower b/c buyers failed to launch higher 3 times now at the high around 26000, and now some bids have been caught off the wrong side.

However, if the offers can’t push for a new low (larger TF has been forming HL), likely the buyers will take over again and retest the swing high around 26000.

Bears would want to defend heavily at 25926, and ideally should defend 25872 as well, we’ll see.

image3627×2212 300 KB

R: 25996 - 26044

R: 25940 - 25973

R: 25926 (Very strong and important level)

R: 25872 - 25926 (Reoffer zone)

R: 25830

R: 25805

R: 25782

S: 25715 (Minor, but bids prob wants to defend or the low might not hold)

S: 25700 -25705

S: 25650 - 25660 (Minor)

S: 25615

S: 25570 (Likely the low it it gets there)

今天我有点看不懂，所以不想更新误导。明天Mopex，我不做单，也不会更新。周一更新

1/20/26

It’s been a long weekend to say the least. First day back, don’t rush into trade, let it build a bit and see where the bids/offers coming in.
Liquidity might be thin and given the higher volatility, so I planned more levels.

image3612×2202 334 KB

R: 25540
R: 25450 - 25470 (LIS for shorts)
R: 25420 (PIVOT)
R: 25395
R: 25310 - 25320
R: 25265
R: 25165 - 25175
S: 25095 - 25108 (If this doesn’t hold and rebound, will lead to further downside)
S: 24985
S: 24880 - 24890
S: 24860
S: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24620

1/21/26

Nothing has really changed, need to see if the O/N break down was a fake out.
Still lean short until bids can reclaim pivot.

image3527×2230 274 KB

R: 25540
R: 25450 - 25470 (LIS for shorts)
R: 25420 (PIVOT)
R: 25395
R: 25310 - 25320
R: 25265
R: 25230 - 25245
R: 25165 - 25175 (Also WDVAL ipb now)
R: 25125 (Minor)
S: 25095 - 25108 (If this doesn’t hold and rebound, will lead to further downside)
S: 24985
S: 24880 - 24890
S: 24860
S: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24620

1/22/26

Disclaimer: back to prior week’s range, not going to be clean price action, treat levels with a grain of salt… I don’t like this range at all…

image3545×2205 285 KB

1/23/26

Didn’t change too much from yesterday’s levels, pretty much range bound, so only minor changes.

image3530×2225 296 KB

R: 26000 - 26010
R: 25975 - 26010
R: 26940
R: 26926
R: 25870 - 25880
R: 25790 - 25805
R: 25760
R: 25730
R: 25700 - 25704
R: 25660
R: 25640
R: 25600
S: 25540
S: 25490
S: 25420 - 25430

1/26/26

Not much has changed since Friday, O/N gapped lower but slowly grinded back to Friday’s range with low interest auctioning below.

FOMC decision on Wednesday, big techs reporting earnings this week, not expecting much of a move outside of those events tbh.

image3530×2200 270 KB

R: 26000 - 26010
R: 25975 - 26010
R: 26940
R: 26926
R: 25870 - 25880
R: 25790 - 25805
R: 25760
R: 25740
R: 25720
R: 25700 - 25704
R: 25660
R: 25640
R: 25595 - 25600
S: 25540
S: 25490
S: 25420 - 25430

1/27/26

Expecting a smaller range with FOMC starting today and I think the market might be waiting for the decision, so likely it won’t be too volatile.

image3542×2232 275 KB

R: 26374
R: 26362
R: 26272
R: 26132 - 26118
R: 26076
R: 26045
R→S: 25960 - 25970
S: 25940
R→S: 25926
S: 25870 - 25875
S: 25835
S: 25805
S: 25760

1/29/26

FOMC was much of a nothingburger… but market slowly grinding up. Lean towards initial rebalance based on tech earnings from yesterday then chop for more earnings result.

image3680×2327 372 KB

R: 26550
R: 26450 - 26525 (Trapped buyers)
R: 26420
R: 26360
R: 26320
R: 26300 - 26305
R: 26280 (Reoffer)
R: 26230
R: 26208
S: 26120
S: 26095 - 26105
S: 26045
S: 25970
S: 25926

1/30/26

Didn’t see yesterday’s sell off coming, but I suppose it’s normal to rotate and rebalance after big tech ERs and FOMC (tho i havent looked into why yet).

image3505×2245 290 KB

R: 26197

R: 26174

R: 26095 - 26105

R: 26045

R: 26015

R: 25972

R: 25926

R: 25875 - 25900

R: 25845

S: 25797

S: 25750 - 25760

S: 25720

S: 25650 - 25660 (Rebids)

S: 25540

Not too worried tbh, essentially it failed to breakout the multi-week balance is all.

image3515×2282 308 KB

2/2/26

Not sure what’s gonna happen, but short bias until key levels are reclaimed. 540, 650-660

image3510×2172 279 KB

R: 26197
R: 26174
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26015
R: 25972
R: 25926
R: 25875 - 25900
R: 25835
R: 25797
R: 25750 - 25760
R: 25720
R: 25650 - 25660 (LIS for shorts)
R: 25540 (Pivot, reoffer expected)
S: 25460
S: 25420
S: 25395
S: 25350 - 25360
S: 25230
S: 25165
S: 25100
S: 25040

2/3/26

Don’t particularly like today’s price action, too many levels and we are back to the weekly range top. Just like how it rejected auctioning below after Sunday’s open sell off, it’s a bit hard to just shoot out and breakout top as well.
Slight long bias and lean towards b/o above, but treat it as range until proven otherwise.

image3547×2302 296 KB

R: 26360
R: 26320
R: 26303
R: 26280
R: 26230
R: 26195 - 26210
R: 26175
R: 26120
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26003 - 26020
S: 25945
S: 25926
S: 25905
S: 25837

S: 25818 (Rebids for 25845 )

S: 25797 (LIS for long)

2/4/26

超出这个范围就是超出我的认知了，一般就不会做了。

Technical wise, the selloff was a rejection of the top range of the balance again, on the weekly. Now it back to the bottom of the range around 25200.
Offers were pretty strong yesterday, pretty much no interest trying to bid until 25640 - 25660, then the offers chewed through all the bids and retested the low around 25230, where the prior rebids came out and at 25163.

- It’s tricky because now the bias is obviously bearish with pivot at 25540, and LIS around 25640-25660, if want to try short. However, b/c it is near the balance range bottom, it is hard to maintain a b/o lower bias until sellers prove that they can decisively break the rebids of 25163 and even the low 25044, with the minor support at 25100. Otherwise it is like yesterday, treat it as a longer timeframe range-bound and it is now back to the low again…
Nonetheless, reoffers seem to moved lower from the pivot 25540 to 25510-25515, which is to sellers’ advantage, all depends on if they sustain the move lower.

image3535×2210 311 KB

R:25650
R: 25540 (PIVOT)
R: 25510 - 25515
R: 25490
R: 25460
R: 25420
R: 25360
S: 25330
S: 25230
S: 25163
S: 25100
S: 25040

牛啊，跟着楼主喝了口汤

哈哈哈哈 能赚到也挺替你开心的。你是做的大盘吗？

2/5/26

Total free fall, don’t try to stop a freight train…
Market in a trending phase and auctioning to find the next fair value area. Wouldn’t be too committed if I do anything today, going to focus on scalping and be nimble.

image2570×2345 272 KB

24860
24820
24720
24680
24650
24540
24460
24280

2/6/26

image3475×2315 292 KB

R: 25223
R: 25180
R: 25124
R: 25092
R: 25037
R: 24957
R: 24918
R: 24860 - 24880
R: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24650
S: 24540
S: 24460
S: 24280

25124是怎么这么准确的

其实有运气成分啦，尤其是这几天这种大波动的市场，10-20个点的容错都很正常。25115 - 25138， 甚至25160 - 25175 去插一针都是可以接受的。非得说12x这个位置的话，其实更明显的是周三收盘+周三/四的夜盘，能看到有reoffer defended this area and liquidated further down. 所以市场来回来的话，这里有sell就很说得过去。

2/9/26

Not whole a lot has changed since Friday, so the levels are pretty much the same with some minor tweaks.

Be patient and be nimble.

image3532×2325 355 KB

R: 25420
R: 25360
R: 25330
R: 25290
R: 25223
R: 25180
R: 25124
R: 25092
R: 25015 (O/N rebids)
R: 24957
R: 24918
R: 24860 - 24880
R: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24650
S: 24540
S: 24460
S: 24280

2/10/26

Weird spot to open… needs to make its mind. Either bids that reclaimed 25223 keeps bidding, or the offers move lower from 25515 and work it down…
Honestly don’t like days like this… too many important levels are close by and markets are indecisive, so the liquidity might not be too good for fills… (At least to me).

image3560×2227 297 KB

R: 25650 - 25660
R: 25610
R: 25540 (LIS)
R: 25515 (PIVOT)
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25420
R: 25375
S: 25276
S: 25223 (Needs to hold or it def see lower)
S: 25165
S: 25124
S: 25095

2/11/26

image3530×2350 309 KB

R: 25720
R: 25650 - 25660
R: 25610
R: 25540 (LIS)
R: 25515 (PIVOT)
R: 25495
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25420
R: 25375
S: 25276
S: 25223 (Needs to hold or it def see lower)
S: 25165
S: 25124
S: 25095

2/12/26

Only minor changes, market sideway consolidating

image3530×2337 313 KB

R: 25720
R: 25650 - 25660
R: 25610
R: 25540 (LIS)
R: 25515 (PIVOT)
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25420
R: 25375
S: 25276
S: 25223
S: 25165
S: 25145
S: 25060

2/17/26

Just wide range-bound… jittery PA with higher vol.

image3570×2227 287 KB

R: 25107
R: 24996
R: 24960
R: 24920
R: 24880
R: 24830 - 24840
R: 24785
R: 24707 - 24720 (Expect reoffers to come in)
R: 24670 - 24680
R: 24620 - 24640
S: 24575
S: 24545 (long LIS, opens door to 24430 if lost)

2/18/26

Not much to say, just approaching balance top, likely two-way tape, depending on where bids come in, one of those annoying spots right now. Pullbacks can be shallow as (re)bids come in higher potentially, but near the upper balance range where offers took it down, so reoffers likely to defend too.

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R: 25180
R: 25125
R: 25085
R: 25040
R: 24996 (Strong R, LIS before it accesses upper volume gap at 25180)
R: 24960
R: 24920
R: 24880
R: 24830 - 24840
R: 24785
R: 24707 - 24720 (Expect reoffers to come in)
R: 24670 - 24680
R: 24620 - 24640
S: 24575
S: 24545 (long LIS, opens door to 24430 if lost)

2/19/26

Nothing really changed, just going to use yesterday’s levels.

2/23/26

Didn’t trade on Friday due to MOPEX
Still the levels are pretty much the same, nothing really changed? Kinda tired of this shit tbh lol.
Maybe add a couple of levels, but they mostly come from Sunday O/N session:

- R: 25058

- R: 25017

- S: 24808

2/24/26

Same ol’ Shit…
NVDA ER after close tomorrow, might help the market finally pick a direction

2/25/26

After 8 days of choppy range bound price action, it’s finally showing some pulse and so far seems like choosing to go up, but still need to be cautious and chop might continue given NVDA’S ER today after close.

Took out 25124, for it to continue pushing higher, need to see if the level gets defended by rebids. Next R sitting at 25165 - 25177. Next R sitting at 25210, 25260 - 25275 where I expect there will be a lot of profit taking if we get there and potentially attract some reoffers to show up.

image3490×2200 277 KB

R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25400 - 25420
R: 25360
R: 25260 - 25275
R: 25210
R: 25165 - 25177
R→S (potentially if retest is held): 25120 - 25130 (Mainly 25124)
S: 25090
S: 25063
S: 25040
S: 24990 - 24996 (if lost, might go back to the chop range again)
S: 24970 (LIS if bids don’t want to be seen as a failed attempt to break out to the up side)

2/26/26

Watch how NVDA moves after open, might be some profit taking or sell since on technical wise, it’s at a balance top.

image3876×1660 247 KB

R: 25610
R: 25540
R: 25510 - 2515
R: 25495
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25400 - 25420
R: 25360
R: 25330
R: 25260 - 25275
R: 25210
R: 25165 - 25177
R→S (potentially if retest is held): 25120 - 25130 (Mainly 25124)
S: 25090

3/2/26

Take levels with a grain of salt, levels mean nothing in front of the (potential) headline tape bomb.

I didn’t trade on Friday, so there was no levels updated.

Likely won’t be trading today either given the geopolitical conflict happened over the weekend. I want to see how the US open plays out first, before dipping my toe back into trading, right now it’s simply too volatile for my appetite and I expect the liquidity will be thinner, I really do not wish to get wicked on my stops.

If you do want to trade today, the first very immediate R is at 24690 (roughly the bottom of the multiday balance that has been trading since 2/11), then 24730 - 24740, 24780 - 24790.

The downside, there was a mini-support (rebids) around 24480, but if it can’t go back to the upper balance, I doubt this level will hold it, likely it will test the 24412 - 24424, 24280, even the low that was made on 2/5/26, 24230 - 24240. IF that doesn’t hold, we go we test 11/19/25 low that was 24160, 24185.

GOOD LUCK if you are trading today.