Michael Bury 空了 NVDA 和 Palantir

https://moneywise.com/news/investing/michael-burry-made-100m-from-the-2008-financial-crash-and-he-just-disclosed-2-big-bets-on-the-ai-bubble-bursting-do-this-now-if-youre-exposed https://moneywise.com/news/investing/michael-burry-made-100m-from-the-2008-financial-crash-and-he-just-disclosed-2-big-bets-on-the-ai-bubble-bursting-do-this-now-if-youre-exposed Will the hedge fund manager best known for "The Big Short" be right again? 这次又赌了 1.1 Billion https://fortune.com/2025/11/05/michael-burry-1-billion-short-ai-stocks-markets/ https://fortune.com/2025/11/05/michael-burry-1-billion-short-ai-stocks-markets/ Wall Street expects tech stocks to take a hammering this morning—again. 上次赌是 1.6 Billion. 输了. https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/here-s-how-much-michael-burry-is-down-on-his-110978766733317 https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/here-s-how-much-michael-burry-is-down-on-his-110978766733317 Here’s how much Michael Burry is down on his $1.6 billion bet against stock market 一次又一次. 印象中 2008 年之后, 他就没有什么赌对的空仓. From GPT: What about after 2008? After 2008, Burry has made many bearish predictions (i.e., expecting market crashes or severe downturns). For example: In 2015 he predicted a crash in the U.S. stock market. https://www.mollerwealthpartners.com/blog/the-reality-of-market-predictions?utm_source=chatgpt.com In 2017 he warned of a global financial meltdown. https://markettimes.co.uk/markets/17/08/2023/michael-burry-and-his-predictions-a-financial-oracle/?utm_source=chatgpt.com In 2019 he flagged a bubble in index funds/ETFs. https://markettimes.co.uk/markets/17/08/2023/michael-burry-and-his-predictions-a-financial-oracle/?utm_source=chatgpt.com He placed big put-option bets in 2023 (e.g., against the S&P 500 & Nasdaq) expecting a crash. https://finmasters.com/investor-profile-michael-burry/?utm_source=chatgpt.com However, many of these warnings did not materialize into the kind of crash Burry anticipated (or at least not within the timeframes he implied). For instance: After his 2015 crash prediction, the S&P 500 still rose ~11% the next year. https://www.mollerwealthpartners.com/blog/the-reality-of-market-predictions?utm_source=chatgpt.com After his 2017 warning, the market rose ~19% over the following 12 months. https://markettimes.co.uk/markets/17/08/2023/michael-burry-and-his-predictions-a-financial-oracle/?utm_source=chatgpt.com His 2019 crash prediction also didn’t come soon—the market still gained ~15% in the next year. https://banyanhill.com/trade-in-predictions-for-this-proven-strategy/?utm_source=chatgpt.com His 2023 put-option bets reportedly ended up at a loss. https://finmasters.com/investor-profile-michael-burry/?utm_source=chatgpt.com It’s worth mentioning a nuance: Some analyses say he may still be “right” in a broad sense (that valuations are stretched, etc.), but timing is off . And in markets, timing often matters as much as direction. https://www.reddit.com/r/Burryology/comments/obwnpi?utm_source=chatgpt.com

他可能路径依赖了

他自己闷声大赌就算了，把仓位公开的话，别人想轧空搞他不是很容易？

这次会不一样，只要坚持到2026年底就会赚得盆满钵满。 当然，他要是只赌到2025年底或许赚不了多少。 在Big short里面，2007年初的崩盘迹象就出来了不少，但股市仍然一路创新高到了2007年10月，他们刚开始做空也是亏了不少钱。11月开始往下走，到2008年8月才是赚到盆满钵满。 对2007-2008年发生的事情不熟悉的话可以看这篇报告 https://www.princeton.edu/~markus/research/papers/liquidity_credit_crunch_chinese.pdf https://www.princeton.edu/~markus/research/papers/liquidity_credit_crunch_chinese.pdf https://www.princeton.edu/~markus/research/papers/liquidity_credit_crunch_chinese.pdf 1394.79 KB 其实2007年发生的事情足够崩盘了

当空头就这点好，十次空只要对了一次，就会被人记住一辈子

怎么感觉上周讨论过了？第二天还应声下跌，周五又收回来了。算来好像已经亏了很多钱了

再创新高

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qG4ektofzkI 正好在看这个

公开大规模做空是个蛮危险的举动，即使他的预测最终是对的，短期内也可能会跑出很多人逼空，尤其是这么热门的股票。除非有一击必杀的证剧，不然通常会死的很惨吧。

实际上，女大的盘子，Bury自己的资金肯定不够空的，但是呢，申遗说过： 谁赢他们帮谁

发这种东西一般都有滞后性吧，说不定大家都在笑他的时候他已经平仓跑路了

这人是现代 Livermore，做空头上瘾了

时间不多了

这人成功一次后就成了反指了

他平了吗